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IMF should learn from Adam Smith

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The IMF will never agree to Proposal 4. Accountability is for the borrower, not the lender. That’s the unwritten rule of the global financial system. Barry is asking the lion to start eating grass.

As a Nigerian businessman, I know that if I take 10 loans and my business is still failing, the bank will stop giving me money. Why does the IMF keep ‘funding’ failing systems? Because they want the interest, not the success.

Proposal 3 is where the problem lies. Our politicians hate transparency. If the IMF makes ‘Basic PEFA’ scores non-negotiable, most of our governors will suddenly start sweating. We need that IFMIS and IPSAS tracking to know where the money is actually going!

25 programs for Liberia and 21 for Senegal? Haba! If a student fails an exam 20 times, you don’t just keep giving them the same textbook. You check if the teacher actually knows how to teach. Barry is right; the IMF is marking its own homework.

I disagree with the 7-year waiver in Proposal 3. In 7 years, another set of politicians would have looted and left. Make it a ‘Year 1’ condition. If you can’t show your books, you can’t touch the loan.

Automatic debt standstills for climate disasters (Proposal 1) would save the North-East and the Delta regions so much grief. Instead of begging for aid after every flood, the law should just pause the interest automatically. It’s common sense!

Proposal 2 is the real deal. How can they say Nigeria is ‘broke’ when we have trillions in untapped solid minerals and land? Measuring debt-to-GDP without looking at our net worth is like saying a man with 10 plots of land in Ikoyi is poor because he doesn’t have a monthly salary.

Proposal 2 would change the ‘debt distress’ narrative overnight. If we include the value of the NNPC, our refineries, and our gold reserves, our debt-to-asset ratio would look very healthy. Why is the IMF hiding this?

Finally, someone pointed out that emergency loans (SDRs) are just more debt. You can’t cure a hangover by drinking more gin. We needed a standstill during COVID, not more instruments to manage.

I love the Hammurabi reference. If a ‘storm’ (like COVID or a climate flood) destroys the harvest, the debt should wait. But no, the IMF will give you a ‘top-up’ loan with more interest. That’s not help; that’s a debt trap wrapped in a suit.

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